Saturday, December 09, 2006

More On Week 13

On Games Where the Margin of Victory Was Two Or More Possessions (9+points)


All 8 teams that lost by 2+ possessions had losing records entering the game.

In seven of these games, the losing team had more turnovers (the 8th was even), and in six the loser had two or more.


In just four of those games did the winner have more total yards.

HOWEVER, in the three games decided by three or more possessions (17+ points), the victor had more yards


In just four of these games did the winner have a longer Time of Possession, but they did in all three three-possession victories. However, only just one (a three-possession winner) have more total plays.


In six (except Houston and Chicago), the winner had a superior Yards Per Pass Play. (5-3 in closer games) Also in six games, the winner had more rushing yards (just 4-4 in closer games)


More on Turnovers


Of the six losing teams (in all games) with more rushing yards, five had more turnovers (the sixth, Min-Chi, was even)

Of the five losing teams with superior Yard Per Pass Play, two had more turnovers and three were even

Of the eight times they loser had more total yards, six times they had more turnovers (other two were even).

Of the ten time the loser had more first downs, eight times they had more turnovers

All seven times when the loser had fewer penalties, they had more turnovers.

Likewise all seven times when they had fewer penalty yards.

And the three losing teams that punted less.

And the four teams that missed fewer field goals.


Turnovers certain negate almost all other advantages.

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