Friday, December 22, 2006

Favre's Thought Process

I think Brett Favre was torn last spring:

- The Packers were in rebuilding mode. If Favre was to be part of that rebuilding, he should commit to three more years .
- but if the young team totally sucked - not just because they're inexperienced but because they're bad, Brett Favre wouldn't want to commit to more years of losing. He wanted the option of quitting if it was another bad, 4-12 season.
- On the other hand, if the team showed signs of improvement, so as to make play-off/championship runs the following two years, Favre would want to keep playing, for two reasons: a) it would be fun again, and b) it would be unfair to the other players if, just when they started getting good, they had to go through another "rebuilding" year adjusting to a new young quarterback and his inevitable growing pains.

I believe this is was Favre's dilemma last spring. I believe early on this year, and in the mid-season slump, there was reason for Favre to doubt whether he would come back. If he lost confidence in the organization and saw nothing but more years of losing, why should he?

But now with the Packers still in the play-off hunt and at worse a 7-9 team, Favre has an obligation to come back and see this thing through. This was a rebuilding year, and it was a successful rebuilding year. If Favre quits now, he will have set the program back by a year, as the Packers could have installed a young quarterback and grown with him.

So I predict that this week, or immediately following the last game of the year, that Favre will announce that he'll be back.

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